105 Wins?
The Tigers are on pace for 105 wins, if we take a look at the Pythagorean Winning Percentage, based on the number of runs scored and allowed by a team. It correctly (more or less) predicts the Tigers’ current 12-7 record (Returning 12.5 wins based on 95 runs scored and 73 allowed).
Does anyone really think they’re going to win that many games? I doubt it. I hope not.
The big question to me is, Can the pitching staff continue the current success, which is really the driving factor right now. Probably not. The Tigers’ 3.73 ERA is third in MLB and ranks atop the AL standings. The rotation is better. The younger guys have learnd with experience. And the bullpen is looking pretty dapper. But they’re not that good.
Of course, the Bengals remain in the middle of the pack in scoring, and the lineup in Detroit is supposed to be the bright spot. We have seen the potential to put up runs at times, but more often than not this season, the lineup has done just enough to win, while the pitching staff has felt all the pressure. That has to change, and sooner than later, or the two weeks of feelgood baseball we’ve had this year won’t mean much in the future.
105 wins? Yeah, that sounds good right now. This team is a new Tigers club. It knows how to win the close games. Things are looking good. Just not that good.
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